题 目：Quantifying uncertainties in China's emission inventories
主讲人： 关大博副教授（Sustainability Research Institute, University of Leeds）
时 间：2012年9月13日 下午3:00
地 点：主楼6层会议室
主讲人简介：
Dabo is an Associate Professor at Sustainability Research Institute, University of Leeds, and Senior Member and Director of Studies in Economics of St Edmund's College, University of Cambridge. He is a Lead Author of the 5th Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Working Group III, Chapter 14 on Regional Development and Cooperation. He specialises in international climate change policies for mitigation, climate change adaptation, scenario analysis on environmental impacts, water resources accounting and management, input-output modelling and their applications in both developed and developing countries. He has published more than 50 articles in high impact international journals with h index 11. He has received Leontief Prize 2012 and "Runner Up" of the Leontief Prize 2007. His paper was awarded for the "Top Policy Paper 2007"by Environmental Science & Technology. His most recent paper on "The gigatonne gap in China's carbon dioxide inventories" at Nature Climate Change have received international attention and reported by 40+ media in different languages.
内容简介：
The Kyoto Protocol's first commitment period (2008-2012) is ending. Reliable national statistics are the foundation for understanding the science of climate change as well as for global negotiations in setting future emission targets and allocating responsibilities. China, as the world's top CO2 emitter has frequently been questioned about its data transparency and reliability of energy and emission statistics. China implemented a top-down statistical system. The compilation of energy statistics in China occurs under the aegis of the National Bureau (NBS) of Statistics at the central government level, which oversees and coordinates the corresponding statistical departments at provincial and county levels. The NBS publishes annually both national and provincial energy statistics. We compile the CO2 emission inventories for China and its 30 provinces during 1997 - 2010. However, CO2 emissions calculated based on the two publicly available official energy datasets differ by about 1.4 gigatonnes for 2010. The figure is equivalent to Japan's annual CO2 emissions - the world's fourth largest emitter; with 5% of the global annual total. We further look at the heat contents in different types and quality of coal consumption in China and investigate the full uncertainty range of China's emission inventories.