题 目：Economic Impacts of the Great Eastern Japan Earthquake
主讲人： Prof. Hirokazu Tatano （Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University）
时 间：2012年9月5日 下午3：00-5:30
地 点：主楼6层会议室
主讲人简介：
Prof. Hirokazu Tatano is a Professor of Disaster Prevention Research Institute in Kyoto University and is currently serving as a head of Research Division of Disaster Management for Safe and Secure Society. His research interest is in economic engineering of disasters, disaster risk governance and risk communicating systems. In relation to economic engineering of disasters, he works in the field of cost benefit analysis of integrated countermeasures including both risk control and risk financing countermeasures and economic analysis of disasters to enhance resilient society against disasters. Spatial computable general equilibrium approach with the realistic boundary conditions to analyze the economic impact of disaster is also his current research focus. He published more than 110 refereed papers, two edited books and 9 book chapters.He is a leader of the Disaster Risk Management Research Field in Kyoto University GCOE Program for “Human Security Engineering for Asian Mega-Cities” for recent five years. He has been serving as a vise-president of International Society for Integrated Disaster Risk Management.
内容简介：
On March 11th, 2011, the great East Japan Earthquake took place. The earthquake and tsunami killed close to 25000 people’s life and bring about tremendous difficulty to Japanese society. Strong ground motion and liquefaction caused by the earthquake was widely distributed in the Tohoku and northern part of Kanto region and harms the capacity of production and led the shortage of critical imputes to industry. Tsunami followed to the ear hake swapped away entire buildings in many cities which are in the coastal area in the affected region and also flow away the functionality of industrial complex which are located in the harbor areas. Modern societies are dependent on mutually connected economic system, which are getting less redundant to seek the benefit of economic return to scale. Based on the desktop research and surveys, we would like to point out the lessons learned from the March 11’s disaster, especially in the area of socio-economic impacts. In the presentation, meaning of the criticality is discussed. Critical inputs has the feature of “low substitutability”, means the decrease of the supply of the input from particular sources courses the decrease of production because the difficulty of alternative sources of the supply of the input. Such a low substitutability leads the cascading effect to the economy. We will investigate why such cascading effects took place after the March 11th event.