Time: Wednesday 5 January, 4:00pm-5:30pm

Venue: 317 Main Building

Speaker: Meng Jing, Associate Professor, University College London

Speaker Bio.

Dr Meng Jing is an Associate Professor at the Bartlett School of Sustainable Building, University College London, and a member of the Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance (C-EENRG) at the University of Cambridge. He is an Associate Editor of the SCI journal Journal of Cleaner Production and an Associate Editor of the SSCI journal Economia Politica. He has published numerous papers in Nature Geoscience, Nature Communications, Nature Climate Change, PNSA, One Earth and other journals. He has been named one of Corevantage's Highly Cited Scientists for 2020 and 2021, received the 2020 Emerging Sustainability Leaders Award, and the Nature Communications Top 50 Paper Award in Earth and Planetary Sciences.

Brief description of report.

Rational forecasting of low carbon energy technology innovations and costs is critical to the energy transition. Current forecasts of technology costs are mainly divided into expert forecasts and model forecasts. Dr Jing Meng's research collected and collated historical data and expert forecasts of low carbon technologies for energy system transition, and predicted future low carbon technology costs and their trends based on four improved and transparent modeling approaches. Secondly, the results of the industry expert forecasts and the four models are compared in detail with the actual cost data, and the effects of the different forecasting methods are analysed and calibrated. Finally, the projections of different technology pathways in 2030 have important policy implications for accounting for the costs of future carbon-neutral pathways.

(Organised by: Department of Technology Economics and Management, Centre for Research and Academic Communication)